Denise Powell holds a commanding position in the NE-02 House race because the open seat sits in Nebraska’s sole competitive district, which has backed Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles and functions as a swing battleground. Traders assign high implied probability to Powell after she secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive primary, outpaced Brinker Harding in fundraising through mid-2026, and received national party support through the DCCC’s Red-to-Blue program. Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump, has faced challenges mobilizing the district’s moderate voters amid polarized national messaging. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, shifts in national economic sentiment, or sustained attacks tying Powell to broader Democratic priorities on spending and social issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$43,524 Vol.
$43,524 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Denise Powell (D)
94%
Brinker Harding (R)
6%
$43,524 Vol.
$43,524 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Denise Powell (D)
$37,084 Vol.
94%
Brinker Harding (R)
$6,441 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Denise Powell holds a commanding position in the NE-02 House race because the open seat sits in Nebraska’s sole competitive district, which has backed Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles and functions as a swing battleground. Traders assign high implied probability to Powell after she secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive primary, outpaced Brinker Harding in fundraising through mid-2026, and received national party support through the DCCC’s Red-to-Blue program. Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump, has faced challenges mobilizing the district’s moderate voters amid polarized national messaging. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, shifts in national economic sentiment, or sustained attacks tying Powell to broader Democratic priorities on spending and social issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$43,524End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Denise Powell holds a commanding position in the NE-02 House race because the open seat sits in Nebraska’s sole competitive district, which has backed Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles and functions as a swing battleground. Traders assign high implied probability to Powell after she secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive primary, outpaced Brinker Harding in fundraising through mid-2026, and received national party support through the DCCC’s Red-to-Blue program. Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump, has faced challenges mobilizing the district’s moderate voters amid polarized national messaging. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, shifts in national economic sentiment, or sustained attacks tying Powell to broader Democratic priorities on spending and social issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,524End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Denise Powell holds a commanding position in the NE-02 House race because the open seat sits in Nebraska’s sole competitive district, which has backed Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles and functions as a swing battleground. Traders assign high implied probability to Powell after she secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive primary, outpaced Brinker Harding in fundraising through mid-2026, and received national party support through the DCCC’s Red-to-Blue program. Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump, has faced challenges mobilizing the district’s moderate voters amid polarized national messaging. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, shifts in national economic sentiment, or sustained attacks tying Powell to broader Democratic priorities on spending and social issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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