Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination for Nebraska’s open 2nd Congressional District seat in a competitive May 2026 primary, defeating better-known rivals through superior fundraising and outside spending. The district, which backed Democratic presidential candidates in three of the last five cycles, features an electorate that has shown modest preference for Democratic outcomes in recent national contests. Powell’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living and healthcare priorities while securing DCCC Red-to-Blue support, positioning her favorably against Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump. Current trader consensus prices Powell at 93.5 percent, reflecting her structural advantages in a seat without an incumbent. Late shifts could still occur from turnout surges, economic developments, or unexpected campaign events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$43,524 Vol.
$43,524 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Denise Powell (D)
94%
Brinker Harding (R)
6%
$43,524 Vol.
$43,524 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Denise Powell (D)
$37,084 Vol.
94%
Brinker Harding (R)
$6,441 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination for Nebraska’s open 2nd Congressional District seat in a competitive May 2026 primary, defeating better-known rivals through superior fundraising and outside spending. The district, which backed Democratic presidential candidates in three of the last five cycles, features an electorate that has shown modest preference for Democratic outcomes in recent national contests. Powell’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living and healthcare priorities while securing DCCC Red-to-Blue support, positioning her favorably against Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump. Current trader consensus prices Powell at 93.5 percent, reflecting her structural advantages in a seat without an incumbent. Late shifts could still occur from turnout surges, economic developments, or unexpected campaign events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$43,524End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination for Nebraska’s open 2nd Congressional District seat in a competitive May 2026 primary, defeating better-known rivals through superior fundraising and outside spending. The district, which backed Democratic presidential candidates in three of the last five cycles, features an electorate that has shown modest preference for Democratic outcomes in recent national contests. Powell’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living and healthcare priorities while securing DCCC Red-to-Blue support, positioning her favorably against Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump. Current trader consensus prices Powell at 93.5 percent, reflecting her structural advantages in a seat without an incumbent. Late shifts could still occur from turnout surges, economic developments, or unexpected campaign events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,524End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination for Nebraska’s open 2nd Congressional District seat in a competitive May 2026 primary, defeating better-known rivals through superior fundraising and outside spending. The district, which backed Democratic presidential candidates in three of the last five cycles, features an electorate that has shown modest preference for Democratic outcomes in recent national contests. Powell’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living and healthcare priorities while securing DCCC Red-to-Blue support, positioning her favorably against Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member endorsed by President Trump. Current trader consensus prices Powell at 93.5 percent, reflecting her structural advantages in a seat without an incumbent. Late shifts could still occur from turnout surges, economic developments, or unexpected campaign events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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