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Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

TWEET COUNT
7
Time left
TWEETS
7
Time left

15-19 39%

10-14 32%

20-24 15.8%

5-9 11.6%

Polymarket

$14,915 Vol.

15-19 39%

10-14 32%

20-24 15.8%

5-9 11.6%

Polymarket

$14,915 Vol.

5-9

$3,931 Vol.

12%

10-14

$979 Vol.

32%

15-19

$969 Vol.

39%

20-24

$1,290 Vol.

16%

25-29

$1,283 Vol.

7%

30-34

$455 Vol.

3%

35-39

$642 Vol.

7%

40-44

$584 Vol.

1%

45-49

$613 Vol.

1%

50-54

$629 Vol.

1%

55-59

$385 Vol.

<1%

60+

$410 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israeli strikes amid the ongoing Iran war, his official X account (@khamenei_ir) has posted archival statements at a reduced pace of 2-5 per week in March, exemplified by four posts March 26-28 and one on April 1. Trader consensus favors 15-19 posts (38.5%) over 10-14 (32%) for March 31-April 7, reflecting split views: recent low volume post-martyrdom vs. pre-death surges like 10+ on February 17 amid escalations. The tight race persists with just one post in the first four days; separation could arise from new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's recent letter vowing Hezbollah support or fresh military actions prompting more defiant quotes, versus de-escalation quieting output.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,915
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israeli strikes amid the ongoing Iran war, his official X account (@khamenei_ir) has posted archival statements at a reduced pace of 2-5 per week in March, exemplified by four posts March 26-28 and one on April 1. Trader consensus favors 15-19 posts (38.5%) over 10-14 (32%) for March 31-April 7, reflecting split views: recent low volume post-martyrdom vs. pre-death surges like 10+ on February 17 amid escalations. The tight race persists with just one post in the first four days; separation could arise from new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's recent letter vowing Hezbollah support or fresh military actions prompting more defiant quotes, versus de-escalation quieting output.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,915
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15-19" at 39%, followed by "10-14" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is "15-19" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10-14" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.