Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Name: Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
Start: 2026-03-24T04:10:15.077Z
End: 2026-04-03T16:00:00.000Z

Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

<20 58%

20-39 18%

40-59 9%

60-79 7%

NEW

Apr 3, 2026

<20

$67 Vol.

58%

20-39

$0 Vol.

18%

40-59

$146 Vol.

60-79

$745 Vol.

80-99

$41 Vol.

100-119

$41 Vol.

120-139

$91 Vol.

140-159

$91 Vol.

160-179

$91 Vol.

180-199

$91 Vol.

200+

$91 Vol.

<20 58%

20-39 18%

40-59 9%

60-79 7%

NEW

Apr 3, 2026

<20

$67 Vol.

58%

20-39

$0 Vol.

18%

40-59

$146 Vol.

60-79

$745 Vol.

80-99

$41 Vol.

100-119

$41 Vol.

120-139

$91 Vol.

140-159

$91 Vol.

160-179

$91 Vol.

180-199

$91 Vol.

200+

$91 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Trader consensus heavily favors under 20 posts by Supreme Leader Khamenei on his official X account during March 27-April 3, 2026, at 59%, reflecting his historically low posting frequency of typically 0-5 per week in recent years, with many weeks showing zero activity. The 20-39 range at 18% captures moderate upticks seen during holidays like Nowruz, though that period falls just after the market window. Recent patterns show sparse output amid Khamenei's advanced age and limited public engagements, with no confirmed events slated to boost volume; higher brackets like 120+ represent tail risks from unforeseen crises, but baseline stability keeps low counts dominant in skin-in-the-game pricing.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 25, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC

Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?

90%

Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 61–70 times during March Madness?

31%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

47%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20" at 58%, followed by "20-39" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is "<20" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20-39" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 58¢ for "<20" in the "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 58% chance that "<20" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 58¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 42¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" market has an active community of 35 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

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Comments (35)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" prediction market?

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