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Elections·Primaries

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

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Elections·Primaries

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ty Masterson 42%

Jeff Colyer 33%

Philip Sarnecki 7.1%

Vicki Schmidt 6.3%

Polymarket

$36,200 Vol.

Ty Masterson 42%

Jeff Colyer 33%

Philip Sarnecki 7.1%

Vicki Schmidt 6.3%

Polymarket

$36,200 Vol.

Ty Masterson

$9,806 Vol.

42%

Jeff Colyer

$20,622 Vol.

33%

Philip Sarnecki

$1,934 Vol.

7%

Vicki Schmidt

$599 Vol.

6%

Charlotte O’Hara

$1,062 Vol.

5%

Scott Schwab

$927 Vol.

2%

Stacy Rogers

$635 Vol.

2%

Joy Eakins

$614 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ty Masterson leads trader consensus at 43% implied probability in the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary due to his position as Senate President, offering strong legislative influence, conservative credentials, and backing from Trump-aligned groups, positioning him as the establishment favorite ahead of the August 4 primary. Former Governor Jeff Colyer trails at 33%, buoyed by high name recognition from past service, robust fundraising including over $1 million in personal loans reported in January, and momentum from early ad buys, though his 2018 primary loss lingers as a caution. The January 30 debate among six candidates highlighted unity on taxes and education but no decisive shifts, with no public polls since late 2025 keeping the crowded field fluid amid low voter familiarity and a June 1 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$36,200
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ty Masterson leads trader consensus at 43% implied probability in the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary due to his position as Senate President, offering strong legislative influence, conservative credentials, and backing from Trump-aligned groups, positioning him as the establishment favorite ahead of the August 4 primary. Former Governor Jeff Colyer trails at 33%, buoyed by high name recognition from past service, robust fundraising including over $1 million in personal loans reported in January, and momentum from early ad buys, though his 2018 primary loss lingers as a caution. The January 30 debate among six candidates highlighted unity on taxes and education but no decisive shifts, with no public polls since late 2025 keeping the crowded field fluid amid low voter familiarity and a June 1 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$36,200
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ty Masterson" at 42%, followed by "Jeff Colyer" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $36.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Ty Masterson" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Colyer" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.