Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
$10,075,558 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Created At: Oct 2, 2024, 4:08 PM
Volume
$10,075,558End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Oct 2, 2024, 4:08 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
$10,075,558 Vol.
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Volume
$10,075,558End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Oct 2, 2024, 4:08 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
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