How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
$4,325,040 Vol.
250-500k 89.1%
500-750k 4.5%
1.5-1.75m 3.6%
750k-1m 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$914,448 Vol.
1%
<250k
$914,448 Vol.
1%
250-500k
$1,015,142 Vol.
89%
250-500k
$1,015,142 Vol.
89%
500-750k
$432,295 Vol.
4%
500-750k
$432,295 Vol.
4%
750k-1m
$379,193 Vol.
3%
750k-1m
$379,193 Vol.
3%
1-1.25m
$361,858 Vol.
1%
1-1.25m
$361,858 Vol.
1%
1.25-1.5m
$312,592 Vol.
2%
1.25-1.5m
$312,592 Vol.
2%
1.5-1.75m
$322,638 Vol.
4%
1.5-1.75m
$322,638 Vol.
4%
1.75-2m
$287,126 Vol.
1%
1.75-2m
$287,126 Vol.
1%
2m+
$299,757 Vol.
1%
2m+
$299,757 Vol.
1%
Rules
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
Volume
$4,325,040End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$4,325,040 Vol.
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
250-500k 89.1%
500-750k 4.5%
1.5-1.75m 3.6%
750k-1m 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$914,448 Vol.
1%
250-500k
$1,015,142 Vol.
89%
500-750k
$432,295 Vol.
4%
750k-1m
$379,193 Vol.
3%
1-1.25m
$361,858 Vol.
1%
1.25-1.5m
$312,592 Vol.
2%
1.5-1.75m
$322,638 Vol.
4%
1.75-2m
$287,126 Vol.
1%
2m+
$299,757 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$4,325,040End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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