Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

$4,325,040 Vol.

250-500k 89.1%

500-750k 4.5%

1.5-1.75m 3.6%

750k-1m 2.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,325,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
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$4,325,040 Vol.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 89.1%

500-750k 4.5%

1.5-1.75m 3.6%

750k-1m 2.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<250k

$914,448 Vol.

1%

250-500k

$1,015,142 Vol.

89%

500-750k

$432,295 Vol.

4%

750k-1m

$379,193 Vol.

3%

1-1.25m

$361,858 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$312,592 Vol.

2%

1.5-1.75m

$322,638 Vol.

4%

1.75-2m

$287,126 Vol.

1%

2m+

$299,757 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,325,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.