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How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?

Market icon

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?

200k-210k 100.0%

<200k <1%

210k-220k <1%

220k-230k <1%

Polymarket

$16,735 Vol.

200k-210k 100.0%

<200k <1%

210k-220k <1%

220k-230k <1%

Polymarket

$16,735 Vol.

<200k

$5,431 Vol.

No

200k-210k

$9,589 Vol.

Yes

210k-220k

$414 Vol.

No

220k-230k

$444 Vol.

No

230k-240k

$300 Vol.

No

240k-250k

$350 Vol.

No

250k+

$208 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims (initial claims) made in the US during the week ending February 14, 2026, according to the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) for the specified week.

The DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week (the week ending on the previous Saturday), with limited exceptions. Upon release, the report will be made available here: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

This market may resolve as soon as the specified report with relevant data is released. If no Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the specified week is released within 14 calendar days of the date on which the reference week ended, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the specified week (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf).
Volume
$16,735
End Date
Feb 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims (initial claims) made in the US during the week ending February 14, 2026, according to the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) for the specified week. The DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week (the week ending on the previous Saturday), with limited exceptions. Upon release, the report will be made available here: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the specified report with relevant data is released. If no Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the specified week is released within 14 calendar days of the date on which the reference week ended, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the specified week (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200k-210k" at 100%, followed by "<200k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?" has generated $16.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?" is "200k-210k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<200k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.