No release by February 14 96%
February 12 1.8%
February 14 1.4%
February 13 1.3%
$155,494 Vol.
$155,494 Vol.
Feb 14, 2026
February 10
$3,293 Vol.
<1%
February 11
$2,452 Vol.
1%
February 12
$3,245 Vol.
2%
February 13
$2,542 Vol.
1%
February 14
$5,515 Vol.
1%
No release by February 14
$27,577 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Volume
$155,494End Date
Feb 14, 2026Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
No release by February 14 96%
February 12 1.8%
February 14 1.4%
February 13 1.3%
$155,494 Vol.
$155,494 Vol.
Feb 14, 2026
February 10
$3,293 Vol.
<1%
February 11
$2,452 Vol.
1%
February 12
$3,245 Vol.
2%
February 13
$2,542 Vol.
1%
February 14
$5,515 Vol.
1%
No release by February 14
$27,577 Vol.
96%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.