Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term runs until the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with no constitutional barriers or snap election triggers evident, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. On April 6, Erdoğan rejected main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) calls for early polls amid ongoing crackdowns on rivals like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, signaling firm institutional control. Recent diplomatic engagements, including April 15 statements on extending the US-Iran ceasefire, underscore his active leadership despite unconfirmed early-year health rumors and succession speculation. Absent major scandals, health events, or successful no-confidence maneuvers, traders see low risk of change before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term runs until the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with no constitutional barriers or snap election triggers evident, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. On April 6, Erdoğan rejected main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) calls for early polls amid ongoing crackdowns on rivals like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, signaling firm institutional control. Recent diplomatic engagements, including April 15 statements on extending the US-Iran ceasefire, underscore his active leadership despite unconfirmed early-year health rumors and succession speculation. Absent major scandals, health events, or successful no-confidence maneuvers, traders see low risk of change before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term runs until the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with no constitutional barriers or snap election triggers evident, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. On April 6, Erdoğan rejected main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) calls for early polls amid ongoing crackdowns on rivals like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, signaling firm institutional control. Recent diplomatic engagements, including April 15 statements on extending the US-Iran ceasefire, underscore his active leadership despite unconfirmed early-year health rumors and succession speculation. Absent major scandals, health events, or successful no-confidence maneuvers, traders see low risk of change before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term runs until the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with no constitutional barriers or snap election triggers evident, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. On April 6, Erdoğan rejected main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) calls for early polls amid ongoing crackdowns on rivals like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, signaling firm institutional control. Recent diplomatic engagements, including April 15 statements on extending the US-Iran ceasefire, underscore his active leadership despite unconfirmed early-year health rumors and succession speculation. Absent major scandals, health events, or successful no-confidence maneuvers, traders see low risk of change before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions