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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 10%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,399 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 10%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,399 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$93,868 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$129,227 Vol.

14%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$91,970 Vol.

10%

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Edna DeVries

$0 Vol.

8%

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Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

11%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,173 Vol.

6%

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David Bronson

$2,133 Vol.

5%

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James Parkin

$0 Vol.

5%

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Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

5%

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Mary Peltola

$0 Vol.

3%

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Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

2%

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Matt Heilala

$23,375 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,654 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his lead in the February Lake Research Partners primary poll (22% among likely voters), where high undecideds (23%) and a fragmented Republican field—with businesswoman Bernadette Wilson (14%), former Attorney General Treg Taylor (11%), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (8%) trailing—split conservative support in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18. Begich's strong early fundraising ($350,000, mostly in-state) and name recognition bolster his position, while consolidation behind a GOP frontrunner could hinge on endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or Peltola's potential entry amid ranked-choice general election dynamics on November 3.

In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his lead in the February Lake Research Partners primary poll (22% among likely voters), where high undecideds (23%) and a fragmented Republican field—with businesswoman Bernadette Wilson (14%), former Attorney General Treg Taylor (11%), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (8%) trailing—split conservative support in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18. Begich's strong early fundraising ($350,000, mostly in-state) and name recognition bolster his position, while consolidation behind a GOP frontrunner could hinge on endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or Peltola's potential entry amid ranked-choice general election dynamics on November 3.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his lead in the February Lake Research Partners primary poll (22% among likely voters), where high undecideds (23%) and a fragmented Republican field—with businesswoman Bernadette Wilson (14%), former Attorney General Treg Taylor (11%), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (8%) trailing—split conservative support in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18. Begich's strong early fundraising ($350,000, mostly in-state) and name recognition bolster his position, while consolidation behind a GOP frontrunner could hinge on endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or Peltola's potential entry amid ranked-choice general election dynamics on November 3.

In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his lead in the February Lake Research Partners primary poll (22% among likely voters), where high undecideds (23%) and a fragmented Republican field—with businesswoman Bernadette Wilson (14%), former Attorney General Treg Taylor (11%), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (8%) trailing—split conservative support in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18. Begich's strong early fundraising ($350,000, mostly in-state) and name recognition bolster his position, while consolidation behind a GOP frontrunner could hinge on endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or Peltola's potential entry amid ranked-choice general election dynamics on November 3.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

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Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

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Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

80%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 25%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $374.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Tom Begich" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.