Market icon
Finance·Business

2nd largest company end of April?

Market icon
Finance·Business

2nd largest company end of April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Apple 66%

Alphabet 27%

NVIDIA 7.2%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$701,386 Vol.

Apple 66%

Alphabet 27%

NVIDIA 7.2%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$701,386 Vol.

Market icon

Apple

$12,941 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Alphabet

$13,955 Vol.

27%

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NVIDIA

$490,412 Vol.

7%

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Microsoft

$137,581 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tesla

$10,436 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$13,397 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$22,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple holds a commanding 65% implied probability as the second-largest company by market capitalization at April 30, 2026 close, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—trailing only NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion—while Alphabet trails at $3.311 trillion, a $345 billion gap demanding sustained outperformance to close. Recent daily gains underscore shifting dynamics, with Alphabet up 2.49% versus Apple's 1.62%, amid broader Big Tech rallies despite year-to-date declines (Apple -8.8%, NVIDIA -5.8% as of mid-March). Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by $697K volume, anticipates stability barring volatility from late-April Q1 earnings: Alphabet (~April 29), Tesla (~April 22), and Apple (April 30 unconfirmed), which could reshape rankings via revenue beats or AI guidance.

Apple holds a commanding 65% implied probability as the second-largest company by market capitalization at April 30, 2026 close, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—trailing only NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion—while Alphabet trails at $3.311 trillion, a $345 billion gap demanding sustained outperformance to close. Recent daily gains underscore shifting dynamics, with Alphabet up 2.49% versus Apple's 1.62%, amid broader Big Tech rallies despite year-to-date declines (Apple -8.8%, NVIDIA -5.8% as of mid-March). Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by $697K volume, anticipates stability barring volatility from late-April Q1 earnings: Alphabet (~April 29), Tesla (~April 22), and Apple (April 30 unconfirmed), which could reshape rankings via revenue beats or AI guidance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple holds a commanding 65% implied probability as the second-largest company by market capitalization at April 30, 2026 close, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—trailing only NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion—while Alphabet trails at $3.311 trillion, a $345 billion gap demanding sustained outperformance to close. Recent daily gains underscore shifting dynamics, with Alphabet up 2.49% versus Apple's 1.62%, amid broader Big Tech rallies despite year-to-date declines (Apple -8.8%, NVIDIA -5.8% as of mid-March). Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by $697K volume, anticipates stability barring volatility from late-April Q1 earnings: Alphabet (~April 29), Tesla (~April 22), and Apple (April 30 unconfirmed), which could reshape rankings via revenue beats or AI guidance.

Apple holds a commanding 65% implied probability as the second-largest company by market capitalization at April 30, 2026 close, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—trailing only NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion—while Alphabet trails at $3.311 trillion, a $345 billion gap demanding sustained outperformance to close. Recent daily gains underscore shifting dynamics, with Alphabet up 2.49% versus Apple's 1.62%, amid broader Big Tech rallies despite year-to-date declines (Apple -8.8%, NVIDIA -5.8% as of mid-March). Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by $697K volume, anticipates stability barring volatility from late-April Q1 earnings: Alphabet (~April 29), Tesla (~April 22), and Apple (April 30 unconfirmed), which could reshape rankings via revenue beats or AI guidance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 66%, followed by "Alphabet" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of April?" has generated $701.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of April?" is "Apple" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.