South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention following his January 15 arrest by the Seoul Central District Prosecutors' Office on insurrection and abuse-of-power charges stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration. A detention warrant was upheld, with extensions granted on February 14 and again in late February, as courts rejected bail amid concerns over flight risk and evidence tampering. Prosecutors continue building an indictment case, separate from the ongoing Constitutional Court impeachment review, with no scheduled release or bail hearings before March 31. Trader consensus at 99.3% for "No" reflects these procedural hurdles and absence of favorable developments, though unlikely scenarios like a sudden medical emergency, appellate reversal, or political intervention could still prompt release.