Following President Ebrahim Raisi's death in a May 2024 helicopter crash, Iran held a snap presidential election with the first round on June 28 and runoff on July 5, electing reformist Masoud Pezeshkian to a full four-year term ending in 2028. With no verified reports of presidential resignation, incapacity, or constitutional triggers for another snap election—such as a supreme leader directive or regime crisis—and stable transition under the new administration amid ongoing regional tensions including recent missile exchanges with Israel, traders price overwhelming consensus at 92.7% against any further presidential vote by June 30, 2025. Only an unforeseen health event, political upheaval, or official announcement could shift this outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$183,230 Vol.
$183,230 Vol.
Sí
$183,230 Vol.
$183,230 Vol.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following President Ebrahim Raisi's death in a May 2024 helicopter crash, Iran held a snap presidential election with the first round on June 28 and runoff on July 5, electing reformist Masoud Pezeshkian to a full four-year term ending in 2028. With no verified reports of presidential resignation, incapacity, or constitutional triggers for another snap election—such as a supreme leader directive or regime crisis—and stable transition under the new administration amid ongoing regional tensions including recent missile exchanges with Israel, traders price overwhelming consensus at 92.7% against any further presidential vote by June 30, 2025. Only an unforeseen health event, political upheaval, or official announcement could shift this outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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