Trader consensus favors Nothing at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 amid geopolitical strains and domestic tensions. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation from oil spikes tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Nationwide "No Kings" protests drew millions on March 28 without invocation of the Insurrection Act. The Iranian regime remains intact despite U.S. airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury and Supreme Leader Khamenei's reported death. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate lacking 60 votes, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration. Uncertainty lingers over Texas Senate primaries—Democrat James Talarico won outright on March 3, while Republican John Cornyn advanced to a May 26 runoff with Ken Paxton—potentially delaying resolution until nominee clarity emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNada
$338,774 Vol.
$338,774 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Nada
$338,774 Vol.
$338,774 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors Nothing at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 amid geopolitical strains and domestic tensions. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation from oil spikes tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Nationwide "No Kings" protests drew millions on March 28 without invocation of the Insurrection Act. The Iranian regime remains intact despite U.S. airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury and Supreme Leader Khamenei's reported death. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate lacking 60 votes, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration. Uncertainty lingers over Texas Senate primaries—Democrat James Talarico won outright on March 3, while Republican John Cornyn advanced to a May 26 runoff with Ken Paxton—potentially delaying resolution until nominee clarity emerges.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volumen
$338,774Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors Nothing at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 amid geopolitical strains and domestic tensions. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation from oil spikes tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Nationwide "No Kings" protests drew millions on March 28 without invocation of the Insurrection Act. The Iranian regime remains intact despite U.S. airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury and Supreme Leader Khamenei's reported death. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate lacking 60 votes, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration. Uncertainty lingers over Texas Senate primaries—Democrat James Talarico won outright on March 3, while Republican John Cornyn advanced to a May 26 runoff with Ken Paxton—potentially delaying resolution until nominee clarity emerges.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volumen
$338,774Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Nothing at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 amid geopolitical strains and domestic tensions. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation from oil spikes tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Nationwide "No Kings" protests drew millions on March 28 without invocation of the Insurrection Act. The Iranian regime remains intact despite U.S. airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury and Supreme Leader Khamenei's reported death. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate lacking 60 votes, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration. Uncertainty lingers over Texas Senate primaries—Democrat James Talarico won outright on March 3, while Republican John Cornyn advanced to a May 26 runoff with Ken Paxton—potentially delaying resolution until nominee clarity emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes