House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 93% in the MA-05 House race. Clark, who ran unopposed in 2024 and secured overwhelming reelection, launched her 2026 campaign in February prioritizing affordability and accountability, facing only modest left-wing primary challengers like Jonathan Paz that pose little threat in the September 1 Democratic primary. No prominent Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, reflecting historical patterns in this safe blue suburban Boston-area seat encompassing Middlesex and Essex counties. While odds exceed 90%, a high-profile GOP recruit, Clark scandal, or unexpected primary upset could prompt shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
93%
共和党
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 93% in the MA-05 House race. Clark, who ran unopposed in 2024 and secured overwhelming reelection, launched her 2026 campaign in February prioritizing affordability and accountability, facing only modest left-wing primary challengers like Jonathan Paz that pose little threat in the September 1 Democratic primary. No prominent Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, reflecting historical patterns in this safe blue suburban Boston-area seat encompassing Middlesex and Essex counties. While odds exceed 90%, a high-profile GOP recruit, Clark scandal, or unexpected primary upset could prompt shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 93% in the MA-05 House race. Clark, who ran unopposed in 2024 and secured overwhelming reelection, launched her 2026 campaign in February prioritizing affordability and accountability, facing only modest left-wing primary challengers like Jonathan Paz that pose little threat in the September 1 Democratic primary. No prominent Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, reflecting historical patterns in this safe blue suburban Boston-area seat encompassing Middlesex and Essex counties. While odds exceed 90%, a high-profile GOP recruit, Clark scandal, or unexpected primary upset could prompt shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 93% in the MA-05 House race. Clark, who ran unopposed in 2024 and secured overwhelming reelection, launched her 2026 campaign in February prioritizing affordability and accountability, facing only modest left-wing primary challengers like Jonathan Paz that pose little threat in the September 1 Democratic primary. No prominent Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, reflecting historical patterns in this safe blue suburban Boston-area seat encompassing Middlesex and Essex counties. While odds exceed 90%, a high-profile GOP recruit, Clark scandal, or unexpected primary upset could prompt shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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