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Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

$6m Vol.

$199k today

$75.8k Liq.

286

Ends in 23 days

3%

$6m Vol.

$199k today

$75.8k Liq.

286

Ends in 23 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$420k Vol.

$123k today

$3.5k Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

64%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$420k Vol.

$123k today

$3.5k Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$189k Vol.

$64.6k today

$122k Liq.

Ends in 7 months

83%

8+

$189k Vol.

$64.6k today

$122k Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

$434k Vol.

$61.3k today

$52.5k Liq.

10

Ends in 22 days

40%

3

$434k Vol.

$61.3k today

$52.5k Liq.

10

Ends in 22 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

$133k Vol.

$34.6k Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 year

12%

$133k Vol.

$34.6k Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 year

November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$923k Vol.

$24.3k Liq.

37

Ends in 2 days

88%

1.20–1.24ºC

$923k Vol.

$24.3k Liq.

37

Ends in 2 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in November?

Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in November?

$21.8k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

98%

<20

$21.8k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

$695k Vol.

$29.2k Liq.

46

Ends in 22 days

1%

$695k Vol.

$29.2k Liq.

46

Ends in 22 days

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Precipitation in NYC in December?

$42.6k Vol.

$11.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 22 days

63%

<3"

$42.6k Vol.

$11.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 22 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$680k Vol.

$36.0k Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

36%

2

$680k Vol.

$36.0k Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

How many Tornadoes in the US in December?

Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in December?

$20.6k Vol.

$3.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

49%

<30

$20.6k Vol.

$3.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

$422k Vol.

$26.4k Liq.

11

Ends in 23 days

99%

160-179

$422k Vol.

$26.4k Liq.

11

Ends in 23 days

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

$1m Vol.

$15.0k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

93%

1900

$1m Vol.

$15.0k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

$20.6k Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

63%

1550–1599

$20.6k Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

2025 November 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

2025 November 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$833k Vol.

$30.4k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

98%

3rd hottest

$833k Vol.

$30.4k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Science

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

$2m Vol.

$37.0k Liq.

59

Ends in 23 days

1%

$2m Vol.

$37.0k Liq.

59

Ends in 23 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Science

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

$98.9k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

2%

$98.9k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

$114k Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 22 days

94%

$114k Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 22 days

New pandemic in 2025?

Science

New pandemic in 2025?

$249k Vol.

$16.9k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

1%

$249k Vol.

$16.9k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

$286k Vol.

$6.0k Liq.

16

Ends in 23 days

4%

$286k Vol.

$6.0k Liq.

16

Ends in 23 days

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