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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

1%

$7m Vol.

$69.5k Liq.

415

Ends in 8 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

77%

8+

$405k Vol.

$35.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

65%

3-4"

$135k Vol.

$9.9k Liq.

6

Ends in 8 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$231k Vol.

$46.2k Liq.

21

Ends in about 1 year

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

98%

$185k Vol.

$8.9k Liq.

10

Ends in 8 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$171k Vol.

$85.2k Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 year

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

91%

2000

$1m Vol.

$11.8k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

99%

160-179

$479k Vol.

$26.4k Liq.

11

Ends in 8 days

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

61%

1.00–1.04ºC

$119k Vol.

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in 18 days

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

1%

$355k Vol.

$7.0k Liq.

18

Ends in 8 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

38%

2

$767k Vol.

$56.7k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 year

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

60%

<1550

$84.1k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

1%

$109k Vol.

$3.0k Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

100%

$74.7k Vol.

$9.9k Liq.

20

Ends in 8 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$480k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?

Science

SpaceX

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?

65%

January 31, 2026

$5.9k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

Science

Business

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before 2026

$123k Vol.

$2.8k Liq.

2

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

25%

December 31, 2025

$63.8k Vol.

$3.3k Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

72%

2

$589k Vol.

$25.9k Liq.

13

Ends in 8 days

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Science

Weather

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

1%

$2m Vol.

$6.0k Liq.

59

Ends in 8 days