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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$10,477 Vol.

Jul 30, 2026

Rules

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$10,477
End Date
Jul 30, 2026
Created At
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Beware of external links.

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$10,477 Vol.

Hong Wang

$2 Vol.

66%

Jacob Tsimerman

$2 Vol.

64%

John Pardon

$2 Vol.

42%

Julian Sahasrabudhe

$2,818 Vol.

38%

Yu Deng

$2 Vol.

34%

Jack Thorne

$7,643 Vol.

26%

Sam Raskin

$2 Vol.

25%

Will Sawin

$2 Vol.

23%

Aleksandr Logunov

$2 Vol.

22%

Alexander Efimov

$2 Vol.

9%

About

Volume
$10,477
End Date
Jul 30, 2026
Created At
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Beware of external links.