Hong Wang's breakthrough resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has propelled her to frontrunner status in trader consensus for the 2026 Fields Medal, with implied probabilities reflecting strong momentum from this transformative work in geometric measure theory. Jacob Tsimerman follows closely behind on the strength of his proof of the André-Oort conjecture, while Jack Thorne maintains solid positioning from ongoing advances in the arithmetic Langlands program. The July 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia serves as the key resolution catalyst, where the four-winner selection will weigh these recent high-impact contributions against historical patterns favoring groundbreaking results in number theory and geometry. Traders monitor any late peer-review developments or additional announcements that could shift the competitive landscape before the ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién ganará la Medalla Fields 2026?
$526,888 Vol.
Hong Wang
68%
Jack Thorne
35%
Vesselin Dimitrov
48%
Yu Deng
52%
Will Sawin
44%
John Pardon
37%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
26%
Aleksandr Logunov
23%
Sam Raskin
20%
Alexander Efimov
19%
Jacob Tsimerman
42%
$526,888 Vol.
Hong Wang
68%
Jack Thorne
35%
Vesselin Dimitrov
48%
Yu Deng
52%
Will Sawin
44%
John Pardon
37%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
26%
Aleksandr Logunov
23%
Sam Raskin
20%
Alexander Efimov
19%
Jacob Tsimerman
42%
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hong Wang's breakthrough resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has propelled her to frontrunner status in trader consensus for the 2026 Fields Medal, with implied probabilities reflecting strong momentum from this transformative work in geometric measure theory. Jacob Tsimerman follows closely behind on the strength of his proof of the André-Oort conjecture, while Jack Thorne maintains solid positioning from ongoing advances in the arithmetic Langlands program. The July 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia serves as the key resolution catalyst, where the four-winner selection will weigh these recent high-impact contributions against historical patterns favoring groundbreaking results in number theory and geometry. Traders monitor any late peer-review developments or additional announcements that could shift the competitive landscape before the ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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