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Megaquake predictions & odds

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Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

11%

$66.4K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

$106K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

14%

$154K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

84%

8+

$2M Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

26%

$219K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

38%

$301K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

8%

$7.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$80.4K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

53%

0

$1.0K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

35%

>9

$6.0K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

65%

$568K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

60%

0

$1M Vol.

$38.0K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$666K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

21

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

73%

FOKUS

$0 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$268 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

72%

$16 Vol.

$14 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

8%

$431 Vol.

$128 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)

82%

0

$288 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Megaquake.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Megaquake that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Megaquake by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Megaquake predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.