Volcano predictions & odds

Weather·Natural Disasters

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$1M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

42%

$1M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Weather·Climate

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$148K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

$148K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Weather·Volcano

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

$670 Vol.

$46 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$670 Vol.

$46 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Weather·Volcano

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

$21 Vol.

$43 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$21 Vol.

$43 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$822K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

83%

$822K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Weather·Astroid

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$248K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

$248K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Sports·Games

Vikingur Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes

$318 Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

66%

Yes

$318 Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Sports·Games

V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

$0 Vol.

$607 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

28%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$607 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Sports·Games

Valur Reykjavik vs. KA Akureyri

$0 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

47%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Sports·Games

GV CD San José vs. Club Blooming

$0 Vol.

$457 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

30%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$457 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Sports·Games

Vikingur Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

51%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Sports·Games

Valur Reykjavik vs. KA Akureyri - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

38%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Sports·Games

V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$481 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

50%

Over

$0 Vol.

$481 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Sports·Games

Valur Reykjavik vs. FH Hafnarfjordur - Halftime Result

$1.4K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

100%

Yes

$1.4K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Sports·Games

Vikingur Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes - More Markets

$1.5K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

50%

IA Akranes

$1.5K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

World·Earthquakes

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?

$4.1K Vol.

$744 Liq.

Ends in 24 days

63%

Indonesia

$4.1K Vol.

$744 Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Sports·Games

GV CD San José vs. Club Guabirá

$74 Vol.

$928 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

56%

Yes

$74 Vol.

$928 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Sports·Games

GV CD San José vs. Club Guabirá - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$172 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

50%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$172 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

$59.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

10%

$59.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sports·Games

CD Real Tomayapo vs. GV CD San José

$0 Vol.

$507 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

35%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$507 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Volcano.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Volcano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to 1. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Volcano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Volcano shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Volcano prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Volcano predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Volcano prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Volcano markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Volcano prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Volcano predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Volcano odds?

Can I track Volcano predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Volcano markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Volcano prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Volcano markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Volcano prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Volcano predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Volcano odds?

Can I track Volcano predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Volcano markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Volcano predictions & odds