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Job Loss predictions & odds

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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

96%

Rate / Cut

$49.3K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

34%

4.3%

$1.9K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

17%

5.0%

$440K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

8%

$7.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

34%

50k – 100k

$2.9K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

52%

$67 Vol.

$600 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

54%

Petro - Colombia President

$888K Vol.

$340K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$22.6K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

15%

$2M Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

69

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

$619K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

34%

$5.3K Vol.

$644 Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.8K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Zelenskyy # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

45%

80-99

$413 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

37%

80-99

$3.9K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

15%

June 30

$166K Vol.

$769 Liq.

10

What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

41%

Propellant Leak

$422 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Job Loss.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Job Loss that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 30% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Job Loss predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.