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Politics·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?
Politics·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

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$177,751 Vol.

Jun 18, 2026
Polymarket

$177,751 Vol.

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$1,693 Vol.

No

Inflation 50+ times

$1,218 Vol.

No

Inflation 60+ times

$1,537 Vol.

No

Job 15+ times

$1,392 Vol.

No

Jerome / Powell

$4,971 Vol.

No

Trump

$73,682 Vol.

No

Rate / Cut

$2,278 Vol.

Yes

Money

$1,617 Vol.

Yes

Good Afternoon

$29,181 Vol.

No

Depression / Recession

$3,084 Vol.

No

Chair

$4,030 Vol.

Yes

FED

$3,413 Vol.

Yes

Independence

$1,083 Vol.

No

Pandemic

$1,477 Vol.

No

Predecessor

$1,225 Vol.

No

Open-Minded

$1,084 Vol.

Yes

Artificial Intelligence / AI

$2,849 Vol.

Yes

Crypto / Bitcoin

$5,886 Vol.

No

Balance Sheet

$2,462 Vol.

Yes

Goods Inflation

$3,269 Vol.

No

Dual Mandate

$1,212 Vol.

Yes

Stock

$1,413 Vol.

No

I Don't Know

$6,988 Vol.

No

Downside

$1,989 Vol.

No

Trend

$2,246 Vol.

Yes

Stable / Stability

$1,838 Vol.

Yes

Job Market

$4,676 Vol.

No

All-Time High / All-Time Low

$1,649 Vol.

No

Maximum Employment

$2,023 Vol.

Yes

Groupthink / Group Think

$2,349 Vol.

No

Asymmetric

$3,934 Vol.

No

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh, confirmed as Federal Reserve Chair in May 2026 following Jerome Powell’s tenure, held his first post-FOMC press conference on June 17 after the June 16-17 meeting. The committee left the policy rate unchanged at 3.6 percent, removed forward guidance language from the statement, and omitted a dot plot submission from the new chair. Warsh highlighted persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, signaled formation of task forces to review communication practices, data sources, and policy frameworks, and described the revised statement as shorter and more factual. These elements, alongside his emphasis on strategic ambiguity and institutional review, shaped immediate trader assessments of his policy stance and future signals.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$177,751
End Date
Jun 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh, confirmed as Federal Reserve Chair in May 2026 following Jerome Powell’s tenure, held his first post-FOMC press conference on June 17 after the June 16-17 meeting. The committee left the policy rate unchanged at 3.6 percent, removed forward guidance language from the statement, and omitted a dot plot submission from the new chair. Warsh highlighted persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, signaled formation of task forces to review communication practices, data sources, and policy frameworks, and described the revised statement as shorter and more factual. These elements, alongside his emphasis on strategic ambiguity and institutional review, shaped immediate trader assessments of his policy stance and future signals.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$177,751
End Date
Jun 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rate / Cut" at 100%, followed by "Money" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?" has generated $177.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?" is "Rate / Cut" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Money" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.