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How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

0 99.6%

1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$61,442 Vol.

0 99.6%

1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$61,442 Vol.

0

$24,133 Vol.

Yes

1

$4,193 Vol.

No

2

$1,998 Vol.

No

3

$3,166 Vol.

No

4+

$27,953 Vol.

No

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$61,442
End Date
Jun 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$61,442
End Date
Jun 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 100%, followed by "1" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" has generated $61.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" is "0" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

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