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Banks predictions & odds

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Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

11%

BMO

$22.3K Vol.

$71.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

Lloyds

$500K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

US bank failure by May 31?

US bank failure by May 31?

4%

$9.2K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

13%

$3.6K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$127K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$2.1K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

81%

$27.8K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

56%

↓ 75,000

$18M Vol.

$893K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

84%

25 bps Increase

$275K Vol.

$72.5K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

33

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

88%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.6K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?

68%

↑ $140

$68.4K Vol.

$57.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$267 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

56%

No change

$524 Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 500

$110K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$77.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

86%

No change

$145K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Banks.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Banks that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which banks will fail by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US bank failure by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Banks predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.