Banking Industry predictions & odds

Finance·Banking Industry

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

71%

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$4.2K Vol.

$798 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$4.2K Vol.

$798 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Earnings·JPM

Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

$113 Vol.

$37 Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

50%

Marianne Lake

$113 Vol.

$37 Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Economy·Business

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

$74.7K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

19%

KeyBank

$74.7K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

$51.7K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

63%

Goldman Sachs

$51.7K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·Big Tech

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

$46.3K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

70%

Goldman Sachs

$46.3K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Economy·India

Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?

$13.6K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

89%

Reliance Industries Ltd

$13.6K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·BOI

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

$983 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

75%

No Change

$983 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Finance·Bank Of England

Bank of England decision in November?

$35.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

78%

No change

$35.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Finance·Bank Of England

Bank of England decision in September?

$224K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

98%

No change

$224K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Finance·Oil

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$150K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

JetBlue

$150K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Bank Rate

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

$49.7K Vol.

$823 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

60%

$49.7K Vol.

$823 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Banxico

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

$50.4K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

96%

No change

$50.4K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Economy·Macro Indicators

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

$131K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

95%

25 bps decrease

$131K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Economy·Banxico

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

$13.6K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

91%

No change

$13.6K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·Big Tech

AI bubble burst by...?

$3M Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Macro Indicators

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

$12.1K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

55%

No Change

$12.1K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

World·South Korea

Bank of Korea decision in November?

$7.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

56%

25 bps hike

$7.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Macro

Bank of Russia decision in September?

$135K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

63%

No Change

$135K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Economy·BOJ

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

$57.8K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

91%

No change

$57.8K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Banking Industry.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Banking Industry that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US bank failure by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “AI bubble burst by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “AI bubble burst by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Banking Industry predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Banking Industry shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “AI bubble burst by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Banking Industry prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “US bank failure by December 31, 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Banking Industry prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Banking Industry predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Banking Industry prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Banking Industry markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Banking Industry prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Banking Industry predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Banking Industry odds?

Can I track Banking Industry predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Banking Industry markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Banking Industry predictions & odds