Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Josh Turek 52%

Zach Wahls 46%

Chris Henry 1.4%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Josh Turek 52%

Zach Wahls 46%

Chris Henry 1.4%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Josh Turek

$0 Vol.

52%

Zach Wahls

$0 Vol.

43%

Chris Henry

$0 Vol.

1%

Nathan Sage

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Josh Turek at 50.5% implied probability to win the Iowa Democratic US Senate primary on June 4, edging out Zach Wahls at 38.5%, based on perceptions of Turek's stronger grassroots organization, volunteer turnout efforts, and momentum from recent door-knocking campaigns in rural counties. Wahls draws support from his established profile as a former state representative and his advocacy on progressive issues, but traders highlight Turek's edge in consolidating undecided voters amid limited public polling showing both in the low double-digits with over 50% undecided. Early voting is underway, and low Democratic primary turnout could amplify the impact of committed caucus activists and endorsements, with Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trailing far behind due to minimal fundraising and visibility.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Josh Turek at 50.5% implied probability to win the Iowa Democratic US Senate primary on June 4, edging out Zach Wahls at 38.5%, based on perceptions of Turek's stronger grassroots organization, volunteer turnout efforts, and momentum from recent door-knocking campaigns in rural counties. Wahls draws support from his established profile as a former state representative and his advocacy on progressive issues, but traders highlight Turek's edge in consolidating undecided voters amid limited public polling showing both in the low double-digits with over 50% undecided. Early voting is underway, and low Democratic primary turnout could amplify the impact of committed caucus activists and endorsements, with Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trailing far behind due to minimal fundraising and visibility.

Trader consensus favors Josh Turek at 50.5% implied probability to win the Iowa Democratic US Senate primary on June 4, edging out Zach Wahls at 38.5%, based on perceptions of Turek's stronger grassroots organization, volunteer turnout efforts, and momentum from recent door-knocking campaigns in rural counties. Wahls draws support from his established profile as a former state representative and his advocacy on progressive issues, but traders highlight Turek's edge in consolidating undecided voters amid limited public polling showing both in the low double-digits with over 50% undecided. Early voting is underway, and low Democratic primary turnout could amplify the impact of committed caucus activists and endorsements, with Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trailing far behind due to minimal fundraising and visibility.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%
Market icon

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

22%
Market icon

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

49%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Turek" at 52%, followed by "Zach Wahls" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Josh Turek" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zach Wahls" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.