NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte's announcement of a Washington visit next week to meet President Trump amid alliance reevaluation threats has driven trader consensus to 98% probability on their April talk, reflecting prior bilateral engagements like January's Greenland discussions. Mark Carney similarly trades at 98%, buoyed by ongoing US-Canada economic dialogues despite no fresh confirmation. Emmanuel Macron sits at 68% following Trump's public mockery of the French leader on April 2 over Iran war support, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy (62%) and Mohammed bin Salman (71%) reflect geopolitical priorities highlighted in Trump's April 1 national address declaring US dominance in the Iran conflict nearing completion. Traders await credible reporting on verbal interactions through April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$48,197 Vol.

Mark Carney
100%

Mark Rutte
98%

Keir Starmer
77%

Emmanuel Macron
67%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
55%

Ursula von der Leyen
48%

Elon Musk
40%

Vladimir Putin
40%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Lula da Silva
25%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
12%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
6%

Nicolás Maduro
4%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$48,197 Vol.

Mark Carney
100%

Mark Rutte
98%

Keir Starmer
77%

Emmanuel Macron
67%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
55%

Ursula von der Leyen
48%

Elon Musk
40%

Vladimir Putin
40%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Lula da Silva
25%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
12%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
6%

Nicolás Maduro
4%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte's announcement of a Washington visit next week to meet President Trump amid alliance reevaluation threats has driven trader consensus to 98% probability on their April talk, reflecting prior bilateral engagements like January's Greenland discussions. Mark Carney similarly trades at 98%, buoyed by ongoing US-Canada economic dialogues despite no fresh confirmation. Emmanuel Macron sits at 68% following Trump's public mockery of the French leader on April 2 over Iran war support, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy (62%) and Mohammed bin Salman (71%) reflect geopolitical priorities highlighted in Trump's April 1 national address declaring US dominance in the Iran conflict nearing completion. Traders await credible reporting on verbal interactions through April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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