Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$79,272,012 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 61%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 9.8%

Rick Rieder 4.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,272,012
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$79,272,012 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 61%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 9.8%

Rick Rieder 4.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,186,545 Vol.

61%

Kevin Warsh

$2,130,382 Vol.

21%

Christopher Waller

$2,216,936 Vol.

10%

Rick Rieder

$1,531,256 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$1,782,761 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,776,633 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,699,713 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$1,386,913 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,786,708 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$813,398 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,451,674 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$738,336 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,537,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,252,374 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,491,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$242,778 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$738,604 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$79,272,012
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.