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Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

Market icon

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

No announcement by December 31 100.0%

David Malpass <1%

Chris Waller <1%

Stephen Miran <1%

Polymarket

$661,649 Vol.

No announcement by December 31 100.0%

David Malpass <1%

Chris Waller <1%

Stephen Miran <1%

Polymarket

$661,649 Vol.

David Malpass

$173,441 Vol.

No

Chris Waller

$103,487 Vol.

No

No announcement by December 31

$321,254 Vol.

Yes

Stephen Miran

$35,690 Vol.

No

Kevin Hassett

$27,779 Vol.

No

Donald Trump recently announced he was firing Lisa D. Cook from her position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors: https://apnews.com/article/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-6fca3d2fbb54ba204cc91398e6a7b020

This market will resolve to according the next individual Donald Trump nominates or announces as a nominee to become a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors between August 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Donald Trump does not announce nominee for Fed Governor within this market's timeframe, it will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

This market will resolve based on the first individual trump nominates within the established timeframe.

The announcement of a specific nominee will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether that individual is later officially nominated.

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$661,649
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
Donald Trump recently announced he was firing Lisa D. Cook from her position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors: https://apnews.com/article/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-6fca3d2fbb54ba204cc91398e6a7b020 This market will resolve to according the next individual Donald Trump nominates or announces as a nominee to become a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors between August 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Donald Trump does not announce nominee for Fed Governor within this market's timeframe, it will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". This market will resolve based on the first individual trump nominates within the established timeframe. The announcement of a specific nominee will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether that individual is later officially nominated. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No announcement by December 31" at 100%, followed by "David Malpass" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?" has generated $661.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?" is "No announcement by December 31" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Malpass" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.