Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.6%) amid escalating U.S. military actions against Iran, a key Russian ally, including strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, drawing sharp condemnation from Putin. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed the Iran conflict and Ukraine peace prospects but yielded no in-person summit plans, reinforcing diplomatic caution less than a year after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on U.S. soil. With Trump's administration prioritizing Middle East de-escalation signals and ongoing tensions, neutral venues like Gulf countries or Switzerland see minimal odds (under 3%), as no host proposals or scheduled diplomacy have emerged to shift the crowded wisdom of the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 87.7%
Other EU country 2.8%
Gulf country 2.1%
Other 2.0%
$4,620,094 Vol.
$4,620,094 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
88%
Other EU country
3%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
United States
2%
Turkey
2%
China
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Belarus
1%
Japan
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by June 30 87.7%
Other EU country 2.8%
Gulf country 2.1%
Other 2.0%
$4,620,094 Vol.
$4,620,094 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
$767,301 Vol.
88%
Other EU country
$912,426 Vol.
3%
Gulf country
$251,085 Vol.
2%
Other
$385,833 Vol.
2%
United States
$183,682 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$336,693 Vol.
2%
China
$266,933 Vol.
1%
Russia
$618,964 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$134,470 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$246,967 Vol.
1%
Japan
$108,359 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$71,404 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$116,059 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$132,996 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$86,922 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.6%) amid escalating U.S. military actions against Iran, a key Russian ally, including strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, drawing sharp condemnation from Putin. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed the Iran conflict and Ukraine peace prospects but yielded no in-person summit plans, reinforcing diplomatic caution less than a year after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on U.S. soil. With Trump's administration prioritizing Middle East de-escalation signals and ongoing tensions, neutral venues like Gulf countries or Switzerland see minimal odds (under 3%), as no host proposals or scheduled diplomacy have emerged to shift the crowded wisdom of the market.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$4,620,094End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.6%) amid escalating U.S. military actions against Iran, a key Russian ally, including strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, drawing sharp condemnation from Putin. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed the Iran conflict and Ukraine peace prospects but yielded no in-person summit plans, reinforcing diplomatic caution less than a year after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on U.S. soil. With Trump's administration prioritizing Middle East de-escalation signals and ongoing tensions, neutral venues like Gulf countries or Switzerland see minimal odds (under 3%), as no host proposals or scheduled diplomacy have emerged to shift the crowded wisdom of the market.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,620,094End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.6%) amid escalating U.S. military actions against Iran, a key Russian ally, including strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, drawing sharp condemnation from Putin. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed the Iran conflict and Ukraine peace prospects but yielded no in-person summit plans, reinforcing diplomatic caution less than a year after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on U.S. soil. With Trump's administration prioritizing Middle East de-escalation signals and ongoing tensions, neutral venues like Gulf countries or Switzerland see minimal odds (under 3%), as no host proposals or scheduled diplomacy have emerged to shift the crowded wisdom of the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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