Trader consensus in the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary market positions State House Majority Leader Rick Jackson as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability, driven by his recent polling lead and explosive fundraising debut. A late August Atlanta News First/Landmark poll among GOP primary voters showed Jackson at 28%, ahead of Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (20%) and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (14.5%), reflecting momentum from his August 22 candidacy launch as a Trump-aligned conservative. Jackson's third-quarter filings revealed $1.26 million raised in his first month, with over $1 million cash on hand, outpacing rivals' recent hauls. Jones holds second at 35% on incumbency and statewide name recognition, despite trailing in early surveys, while Raffensperger's lower support stems from lingering 2020 election disputes with Trump supporters. With the May 2026 primary distant, key factors include endorsements, further polls, and battleground fundraising amid a crowded field of incumbents and challengers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRick Jackson 49%
Burt Jones 35%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick 1.4%
$251,126 Vol.
$251,126 Vol.
Rick Jackson
49%
Burt Jones
35%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Chris Carr
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
Rick Jackson 49%
Burt Jones 35%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick 1.4%
$251,126 Vol.
$251,126 Vol.
Rick Jackson
49%
Burt Jones
35%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Chris Carr
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary market positions State House Majority Leader Rick Jackson as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability, driven by his recent polling lead and explosive fundraising debut. A late August Atlanta News First/Landmark poll among GOP primary voters showed Jackson at 28%, ahead of Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (20%) and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (14.5%), reflecting momentum from his August 22 candidacy launch as a Trump-aligned conservative. Jackson's third-quarter filings revealed $1.26 million raised in his first month, with over $1 million cash on hand, outpacing rivals' recent hauls. Jones holds second at 35% on incumbency and statewide name recognition, despite trailing in early surveys, while Raffensperger's lower support stems from lingering 2020 election disputes with Trump supporters. With the May 2026 primary distant, key factors include endorsements, further polls, and battleground fundraising amid a crowded field of incumbents and challengers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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