Trader consensus in the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary market favors State Representative Rick Jackson at 48.5% implied probability over Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones at 36%, reflecting Jackson's recent surge in early polling averages and strong Q3 fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, positioning him as a fresh conservative alternative amid voter fatigue with establishment figures. Jones holds steady with incumbency advantages from his statewide role and Trump endorsement signals, but trails due to criticisms over state budget shortfalls and ethics probes reported last week. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger lingers at 15% on name recognition despite lingering 2020 election certification backlash from the party's right wing. No major announcements or debates in the past 30 days; odds hinge on upcoming candidate filings ahead of the May 2026 primary, with swing voter turnout in battleground suburbs key to tipping balances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRick Jackson 48%
Burt Jones 36%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick 1.1%
$268,211 Vol.
$268,211 Vol.
Rick Jackson
48%
Burt Jones
36%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Chris Carr
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
Rick Jackson 48%
Burt Jones 36%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick 1.1%
$268,211 Vol.
$268,211 Vol.
Rick Jackson
48%
Burt Jones
36%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Chris Carr
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary market favors State Representative Rick Jackson at 48.5% implied probability over Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones at 36%, reflecting Jackson's recent surge in early polling averages and strong Q3 fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, positioning him as a fresh conservative alternative amid voter fatigue with establishment figures. Jones holds steady with incumbency advantages from his statewide role and Trump endorsement signals, but trails due to criticisms over state budget shortfalls and ethics probes reported last week. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger lingers at 15% on name recognition despite lingering 2020 election certification backlash from the party's right wing. No major announcements or debates in the past 30 days; odds hinge on upcoming candidate filings ahead of the May 2026 primary, with swing voter turnout in battleground suburbs key to tipping balances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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