Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026, Texas 36th Congressional District primary with 81% of the vote, defeating Jonathan Mitchell outright and avoiding a runoff, bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 85%. Democrat Rhonda Hart won her primary with 64% over Doug Rogers, setting a general election matchup on November 3 amid a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball following 2025 redistricting tweaks that preserved its deep-red lean—Babin's prior general election margin exceeded 69%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage, historical base rates in safe seats, and low Democratic turnout prospects in this southeast Texas battleground. Late national trends or scandals could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,409 Vol.
85%
民主党
$2,669 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026, Texas 36th Congressional District primary with 81% of the vote, defeating Jonathan Mitchell outright and avoiding a runoff, bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 85%. Democrat Rhonda Hart won her primary with 64% over Doug Rogers, setting a general election matchup on November 3 amid a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball following 2025 redistricting tweaks that preserved its deep-red lean—Babin's prior general election margin exceeded 69%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage, historical base rates in safe seats, and low Democratic turnout prospects in this southeast Texas battleground. Late national trends or scandals could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$5,079終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026, Texas 36th Congressional District primary with 81% of the vote, defeating Jonathan Mitchell outright and avoiding a runoff, bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 85%. Democrat Rhonda Hart won her primary with 64% over Doug Rogers, setting a general election matchup on November 3 amid a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball following 2025 redistricting tweaks that preserved its deep-red lean—Babin's prior general election margin exceeded 69%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage, historical base rates in safe seats, and low Democratic turnout prospects in this southeast Texas battleground. Late national trends or scandals could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,079終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026, Texas 36th Congressional District primary with 81% of the vote, defeating Jonathan Mitchell outright and avoiding a runoff, bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 85%. Democrat Rhonda Hart won her primary with 64% over Doug Rogers, setting a general election matchup on November 3 amid a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball following 2025 redistricting tweaks that preserved its deep-red lean—Babin's prior general election margin exceeded 69%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage, historical base rates in safe seats, and low Democratic turnout prospects in this southeast Texas battleground. Late national trends or scandals could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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