Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding 73.6% victory in the 2024 general election and the district's R+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it the 12th most Republican nationally following October 2025 redistricting—anchor trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect historical landslides and Taylor's strong fundraising with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The May 5 primaries loom, pitting Taylor against minor challenger Bob Carr on the GOP side, while Democrats' field—Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson—was weakened by Brian Kenderes' February felony conviction and disqualification. Upsets would require a GOP primary shock, major Taylor scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$19,501 Vol.
$19,501 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$19,501 Vol.
$19,501 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
92%
民主党
$19,501 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding 73.6% victory in the 2024 general election and the district's R+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it the 12th most Republican nationally following October 2025 redistricting—anchor trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect historical landslides and Taylor's strong fundraising with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The May 5 primaries loom, pitting Taylor against minor challenger Bob Carr on the GOP side, while Democrats' field—Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson—was weakened by Brian Kenderes' February felony conviction and disqualification. Upsets would require a GOP primary shock, major Taylor scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$19,501終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding 73.6% victory in the 2024 general election and the district's R+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it the 12th most Republican nationally following October 2025 redistricting—anchor trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect historical landslides and Taylor's strong fundraising with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The May 5 primaries loom, pitting Taylor against minor challenger Bob Carr on the GOP side, while Democrats' field—Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson—was weakened by Brian Kenderes' February felony conviction and disqualification. Upsets would require a GOP primary shock, major Taylor scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,501終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding 73.6% victory in the 2024 general election and the district's R+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it the 12th most Republican nationally following October 2025 redistricting—anchor trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect historical landslides and Taylor's strong fundraising with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The May 5 primaries loom, pitting Taylor against minor challenger Bob Carr on the GOP side, while Democrats' field—Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson—was weakened by Brian Kenderes' February felony conviction and disqualification. Upsets would require a GOP primary shock, major Taylor scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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