The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, created by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Twin Cities suburbs district as Likely Democratic, consistent with its +3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins. The August 11, 2026, Democratic primary features several candidates, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement in May 2026, while Republicans advance their own primary contenders ahead of the November general election. This setup, occurring in a midterm cycle, supports the current implied probabilities without significant recent events altering the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
40%
民主党
53%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$156 Vol.
40%
民主党
$111 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, created by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Twin Cities suburbs district as Likely Democratic, consistent with its +3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins. The August 11, 2026, Democratic primary features several candidates, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement in May 2026, while Republicans advance their own primary contenders ahead of the November general election. This setup, occurring in a midterm cycle, supports the current implied probabilities without significant recent events altering the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$267終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, created by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Twin Cities suburbs district as Likely Democratic, consistent with its +3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins. The August 11, 2026, Democratic primary features several candidates, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement in May 2026, while Republicans advance their own primary contenders ahead of the November general election. This setup, occurring in a midterm cycle, supports the current implied probabilities without significant recent events altering the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$267終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, created by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Twin Cities suburbs district as Likely Democratic, consistent with its +3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins. The August 11, 2026, Democratic primary features several candidates, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement in May 2026, while Republicans advance their own primary contenders ahead of the November general election. This setup, occurring in a midterm cycle, supports the current implied probabilities without significant recent events altering the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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