Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 departure for an open U.S. Senate seat created an opportunity for Republicans in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus holds Democrats at 83% implied probability, aligning with Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and strong Democratic primary fundraising—Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. A March 26 National Nurses United endorsement of Little, who led DFL precinct caucus straw polls, bolsters the field against Republicans Tyler Kistner and Eric Pratt, whose finances trail. The district's suburban Twin Cities demographics and historical Democratic margins sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
83%
共和党
17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
83%
共和党
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 departure for an open U.S. Senate seat created an opportunity for Republicans in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus holds Democrats at 83% implied probability, aligning with Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and strong Democratic primary fundraising—Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. A March 26 National Nurses United endorsement of Little, who led DFL precinct caucus straw polls, bolsters the field against Republicans Tyler Kistner and Eric Pratt, whose finances trail. The district's suburban Twin Cities demographics and historical Democratic margins sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 departure for an open U.S. Senate seat created an opportunity for Republicans in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus holds Democrats at 83% implied probability, aligning with Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and strong Democratic primary fundraising—Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. A March 26 National Nurses United endorsement of Little, who led DFL precinct caucus straw polls, bolsters the field against Republicans Tyler Kistner and Eric Pratt, whose finances trail. The district's suburban Twin Cities demographics and historical Democratic margins sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 departure for an open U.S. Senate seat created an opportunity for Republicans in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus holds Democrats at 83% implied probability, aligning with Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and strong Democratic primary fundraising—Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. A March 26 National Nurses United endorsement of Little, who led DFL precinct caucus straw polls, bolsters the field against Republicans Tyler Kistner and Eric Pratt, whose finances trail. The district's suburban Twin Cities demographics and historical Democratic margins sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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