Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District features an open seat after incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for U.S. Senate, creating a contest between Democrat Matt Little and Republican Eric Pratt. Little secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with a plurality amid a field of moderates and progressives, drawing support from progressive groups in a district that has trended more reliably Democratic in recent cycles. Limited outside spending and minimal national attention have kept the race contained, with a September poll showing Little ahead by double digits and independent forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic. Recent candidate debates highlighted differences on healthcare, regulation, and foreign policy, yet these have not shifted the race into toss-up territory. A major national economic or political reversal before November 3 could narrow the gap, though current polling averages and structural trends underpin the wide trader consensus favoring Little.
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