Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in Kansas's 3rd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of a Democratic victory over Republican challenger Jefferson Shreve. Recent Emerson College polling from October 10-14 shows Davids ahead 51%-43%, consistent with her double-digit margin in the 2022 election and fundraising edge exceeding $3 million. No major developments have shifted momentum in the past week, with early voting now underway amid a stable competitive landscape in the Wichita-area district. The race awaits resolution on Election Night, November 5, though national turnout trends could influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
87%
共和党
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
87%
共和党
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in Kansas's 3rd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of a Democratic victory over Republican challenger Jefferson Shreve. Recent Emerson College polling from October 10-14 shows Davids ahead 51%-43%, consistent with her double-digit margin in the 2022 election and fundraising edge exceeding $3 million. No major developments have shifted momentum in the past week, with early voting now underway amid a stable competitive landscape in the Wichita-area district. The race awaits resolution on Election Night, November 5, though national turnout trends could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in Kansas's 3rd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of a Democratic victory over Republican challenger Jefferson Shreve. Recent Emerson College polling from October 10-14 shows Davids ahead 51%-43%, consistent with her double-digit margin in the 2022 election and fundraising edge exceeding $3 million. No major developments have shifted momentum in the past week, with early voting now underway amid a stable competitive landscape in the Wichita-area district. The race awaits resolution on Election Night, November 5, though national turnout trends could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in Kansas's 3rd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of a Democratic victory over Republican challenger Jefferson Shreve. Recent Emerson College polling from October 10-14 shows Davids ahead 51%-43%, consistent with her double-digit margin in the 2022 election and fundraising edge exceeding $3 million. No major developments have shifted momentum in the past week, with early voting now underway amid a stable competitive landscape in the Wichita-area district. The race awaits resolution on Election Night, November 5, though national turnout trends could influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問