Rep. Sharice Davids (D), the three-term incumbent in KS-03, leads Republican challenger Jefferson Shupe by double digits in the latest polls—such as a mid-October survey showing 54% to 39%—bolstering trader consensus at 87% for Democrats. Davids' incumbency edge, $2.3 million cash on hand versus Shupe's under $100,000, and appeal to the district's affluent Johnson County suburbs underpin her dominance in this R+1 Cook PVI battleground. Recent developments include steady polling amid Kansas early voting launch on October 16, with no scandals or momentum shifts favoring GOP; forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, though turnout in this competitive House race could narrow margins before November 5 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
87%
共和党
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
87%
共和党
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Sharice Davids (D), the three-term incumbent in KS-03, leads Republican challenger Jefferson Shupe by double digits in the latest polls—such as a mid-October survey showing 54% to 39%—bolstering trader consensus at 87% for Democrats. Davids' incumbency edge, $2.3 million cash on hand versus Shupe's under $100,000, and appeal to the district's affluent Johnson County suburbs underpin her dominance in this R+1 Cook PVI battleground. Recent developments include steady polling amid Kansas early voting launch on October 16, with no scandals or momentum shifts favoring GOP; forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, though turnout in this competitive House race could narrow margins before November 5 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Sharice Davids (D), the three-term incumbent in KS-03, leads Republican challenger Jefferson Shupe by double digits in the latest polls—such as a mid-October survey showing 54% to 39%—bolstering trader consensus at 87% for Democrats. Davids' incumbency edge, $2.3 million cash on hand versus Shupe's under $100,000, and appeal to the district's affluent Johnson County suburbs underpin her dominance in this R+1 Cook PVI battleground. Recent developments include steady polling amid Kansas early voting launch on October 16, with no scandals or momentum shifts favoring GOP; forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, though turnout in this competitive House race could narrow margins before November 5 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Sharice Davids (D), the three-term incumbent in KS-03, leads Republican challenger Jefferson Shupe by double digits in the latest polls—such as a mid-October survey showing 54% to 39%—bolstering trader consensus at 87% for Democrats. Davids' incumbency edge, $2.3 million cash on hand versus Shupe's under $100,000, and appeal to the district's affluent Johnson County suburbs underpin her dominance in this R+1 Cook PVI battleground. Recent developments include steady polling amid Kansas early voting launch on October 16, with no scandals or momentum shifts favoring GOP; forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, though turnout in this competitive House race could narrow margins before November 5 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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