Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Alabama's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' entrenched position after filing for re-election on January 5, 2026, backed by his role as House Armed Services Committee chair—which aligns with the district's military interests around Fort Moore and Auburn. The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by 30-point-plus GOP margins in recent cycles, faces no credible Democratic challengers or primary threats to Rogers ahead of the May 19 primaries. While late scandals, an unexpected primary upset, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats underscore formidable barriers to a flip.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$2,800 Vol.
94%
民主党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Alabama's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' entrenched position after filing for re-election on January 5, 2026, backed by his role as House Armed Services Committee chair—which aligns with the district's military interests around Fort Moore and Auburn. The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by 30-point-plus GOP margins in recent cycles, faces no credible Democratic challengers or primary threats to Rogers ahead of the May 19 primaries. While late scandals, an unexpected primary upset, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats underscore formidable barriers to a flip.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$2,800終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Alabama's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' entrenched position after filing for re-election on January 5, 2026, backed by his role as House Armed Services Committee chair—which aligns with the district's military interests around Fort Moore and Auburn. The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by 30-point-plus GOP margins in recent cycles, faces no credible Democratic challengers or primary threats to Rogers ahead of the May 19 primaries. While late scandals, an unexpected primary upset, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats underscore formidable barriers to a flip.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,800終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Alabama's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' entrenched position after filing for re-election on January 5, 2026, backed by his role as House Armed Services Committee chair—which aligns with the district's military interests around Fort Moore and Auburn. The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by 30-point-plus GOP margins in recent cycles, faces no credible Democratic challengers or primary threats to Rogers ahead of the May 19 primaries. While late scandals, an unexpected primary upset, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats underscore formidable barriers to a flip.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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