Trader consensus has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Taipei on March 20, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded a peak of 23°C at the Taipei station amid typical early spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds suppressing highs. March averages in Taipei hover around 22-24°C, aligning with this outcome and recent model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS that projected 22-24°C amid stable La Niña influences. Scenarios challenging this include a post hoc data revision from auxiliary stations or rare microclimate anomalies, though CWA's rigorous quality controls make such shifts improbable, cementing the market's certainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Taipei le 20 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Taipei le 20 mars ?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$13,632 Vol.
$13,632 Vol.
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$13,632 Vol.
$13,632 Vol.
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Taipei on March 20, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded a peak of 23°C at the Taipei station amid typical early spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds suppressing highs. March averages in Taipei hover around 22-24°C, aligning with this outcome and recent model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS that projected 22-24°C amid stable La Niña influences. Scenarios challenging this include a post hoc data revision from auxiliary stations or rare microclimate anomalies, though CWA's rigorous quality controls make such shifts improbable, cementing the market's certainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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