Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for direct Zelenskyy-Putin talks by the deadline, driven by the Ukrainian president's insistence on preconditions like full Russian troop withdrawal and war crimes accountability, contrasted with Putin's demands for territorial concessions and Ukraine's neutrality. Recent developments include Zelenskyy's December interviews affirming openness to negotiations but excluding Putin personally amid the stalled Kursk offensive, while Putin reiterated readiness for talks on Moscow's terms during a December 19 Kremlin briefing. No bilateral meetings are scheduled, though Trump’s January 20 inauguration could catalyze U.S.-led diplomacy, potentially shifting odds if peace initiatives gain traction. Uncertainty persists amid battlefield dynamics and European mediation efforts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$756,495 Vol.
March 31
1%
December 31
28%
$756,495 Vol.
March 31
1%
December 31
28%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 30, 2025, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for direct Zelenskyy-Putin talks by the deadline, driven by the Ukrainian president's insistence on preconditions like full Russian troop withdrawal and war crimes accountability, contrasted with Putin's demands for territorial concessions and Ukraine's neutrality. Recent developments include Zelenskyy's December interviews affirming openness to negotiations but excluding Putin personally amid the stalled Kursk offensive, while Putin reiterated readiness for talks on Moscow's terms during a December 19 Kremlin briefing. No bilateral meetings are scheduled, though Trump’s January 20 inauguration could catalyze U.S.-led diplomacy, potentially shifting odds if peace initiatives gain traction. Uncertainty persists amid battlefield dynamics and European mediation efforts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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