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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,482,541 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,482,541 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled US-mediated peace talks, exacerbated by disagreements over venues and Russia's demands for Ukrainian concessions in Donbas, drive near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% against a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by March 31. Zelenskyy reiterated willingness for leader-level diplomacy on March 26, but Moscow has shown no reciprocal interest, while Russia's spring offensive launched last week underscores military escalation over de-escalation signals. No bilateral summit is scheduled amid trilateral negotiation impasses confirmed March 27-28, with only days left. Structural barriers like Putin's prior insistence on Moscow as venue heighten improbability, though a sudden neutral-site breakthrough or ceasefire prelude could theoretically shift dynamics.

Stalled US-mediated peace talks, exacerbated by disagreements over venues and Russia's demands for Ukrainian concessions in Donbas, drive near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% against a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by March 31. Zelenskyy reiterated willingness for leader-level diplomacy on March 26, but Moscow has shown no reciprocal interest, while Russia's spring offensive launched last week underscores military escalation over de-escalation signals. No bilateral summit is scheduled amid trilateral negotiation impasses confirmed March 27-28, with only days left. Structural barriers like Putin's prior insistence on Moscow as venue heighten improbability, though a sudden neutral-site breakthrough or ceasefire prelude could theoretically shift dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled US-mediated peace talks, exacerbated by disagreements over venues and Russia's demands for Ukrainian concessions in Donbas, drive near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% against a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by March 31. Zelenskyy reiterated willingness for leader-level diplomacy on March 26, but Moscow has shown no reciprocal interest, while Russia's spring offensive launched last week underscores military escalation over de-escalation signals. No bilateral summit is scheduled amid trilateral negotiation impasses confirmed March 27-28, with only days left. Structural barriers like Putin's prior insistence on Moscow as venue heighten improbability, though a sudden neutral-site breakthrough or ceasefire prelude could theoretically shift dynamics.

Stalled US-mediated peace talks, exacerbated by disagreements over venues and Russia's demands for Ukrainian concessions in Donbas, drive near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% against a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by March 31. Zelenskyy reiterated willingness for leader-level diplomacy on March 26, but Moscow has shown no reciprocal interest, while Russia's spring offensive launched last week underscores military escalation over de-escalation signals. No bilateral summit is scheduled amid trilateral negotiation impasses confirmed March 27-28, with only days left. Structural barriers like Putin's prior insistence on Moscow as venue heighten improbability, though a sudden neutral-site breakthrough or ceasefire prelude could theoretically shift dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.