Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain odds against Russian President Vladimir Putin meeting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, driven by the protracted Russia-Ukraine war stalemate and irreconcilable negotiating positions. Since the full-scale invasion in February 2022, no direct summit has occurred, with Putin insisting on Ukrainian recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas plus permanent neutrality, while Zelenskyy demands full Russian troop withdrawal and accountability for war crimes. Recent escalations—including North Korean troops bolstering Russian forces and Ukraine's deployment of F-16 jets—signal military intensification over diplomacy. An International Criminal Court arrest warrant for Putin adds legal barriers to any face-to-face talks. Realistic catalysts for reversal include a sudden ceasefire breakthrough, leadership changes, or intensified multilateral pressure from NATO allies or a new U.S. administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$2,482,529 Vol.
$2,482,529 Vol.
$2,482,529 Vol.
$2,482,529 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain odds against Russian President Vladimir Putin meeting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, driven by the protracted Russia-Ukraine war stalemate and irreconcilable negotiating positions. Since the full-scale invasion in February 2022, no direct summit has occurred, with Putin insisting on Ukrainian recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas plus permanent neutrality, while Zelenskyy demands full Russian troop withdrawal and accountability for war crimes. Recent escalations—including North Korean troops bolstering Russian forces and Ukraine's deployment of F-16 jets—signal military intensification over diplomacy. An International Criminal Court arrest warrant for Putin adds legal barriers to any face-to-face talks. Realistic catalysts for reversal include a sudden ceasefire breakthrough, leadership changes, or intensified multilateral pressure from NATO allies or a new U.S. administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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