Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$56,586,252 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 47%

Kevin Hassett 43%

Christopher Waller 6.3%

Scott Bessent 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,586,252
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$56,586,252 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 47%

Kevin Hassett 43%

Christopher Waller 6.3%

Scott Bessent 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$1,306,282 Vol.

47%

Kevin Hassett

$3,135,688 Vol.

43%

Christopher Waller

$1,259,155 Vol.

6%

Scott Bessent

$1,073,298 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$944,893 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$916,135 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,255,933 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$920,951 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,141,719 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$940,023 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$658,694 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,100,707 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$8,792,316 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$522,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,447,828 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,081,657 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$608,906 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,317,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,434,797 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,286,398 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$10,741,177 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$566,246 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$56,586,252
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.