Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Rick Rieder 32.8%

Kevin Warsh 28%

Christopher Waller 18.6%

Kevin Hassett 8.3%

$279,719,401 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder
$9,616,229 Vol.
33%

Kevin Warsh
$10,396,040 Vol.
28%

Christopher Waller
$7,839,659 Vol.
19%

Kevin Hassett
$15,293,247 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$9,553,325 Vol.
5%

Judy Shelton
$9,424,929 Vol.
3%

Stephen Miran
$6,806,041 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$7,088,829 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$5,443,032 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$15,439,634 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,441,489 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$6,786,912 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,400,245 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,331,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,921,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,062,281 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,321,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,381,738 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,964,787 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,371,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,571,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,918,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,857,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,506,469 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,978,633 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 32.8%

Kevin Warsh 28%

Christopher Waller 18.6%

Kevin Hassett 8.3%

$279,719,401 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder

$9,616,229 Vol.

33%

Kevin Warsh

$10,396,040 Vol.

28%

Christopher Waller

$7,839,659 Vol.

19%

Kevin Hassett

$15,293,247 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$9,553,325 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$9,424,929 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$6,806,041 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$7,088,829 Vol.

David Malpass

$5,443,032 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$15,439,634 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,441,489 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$6,786,912 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,400,245 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,331,965 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,921,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,062,281 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,321,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,381,738 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,964,787 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,371,245 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,571,628 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,918,112 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,857,631 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,506,469 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,978,633 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$279,719,401

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

88%

Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

38%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder
$9,616,229 Vol.
33%

Kevin Warsh
$10,396,040 Vol.
28%

Christopher Waller
$7,839,659 Vol.
19%

Kevin Hassett
$15,293,247 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$9,553,325 Vol.
5%

Judy Shelton
$9,424,929 Vol.
3%

Stephen Miran
$6,806,041 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$7,088,829 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$5,443,032 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$15,439,634 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,441,489 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$6,786,912 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,400,245 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,331,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,921,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,062,281 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,321,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,381,738 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,964,787 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,371,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,571,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,918,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,857,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,506,469 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,978,633 Vol.
<1%

Market Context