Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95.7% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, driven by the absence of any official nomination, appointment, or serious rumors despite over a year into the term and major roles long filled. A March White House visit sparked brief speculation amid Iran tensions, where Rice advised aggressive action, but it was advisory only—no indications of onboarding followed. Her history of declining high-profile GOP offers, like Trump's 2016 VP outreach, reinforces skepticism. With just 28 days left, only a sudden vacancy in a senior post and rapid Senate confirmation could shift odds, though such late-game moves remain a longshot amid packed rosters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95.7% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, driven by the absence of any official nomination, appointment, or serious rumors despite over a year into the term and major roles long filled. A March White House visit sparked brief speculation amid Iran tensions, where Rice advised aggressive action, but it was advisory only—no indications of onboarding followed. Her history of declining high-profile GOP offers, like Trump's 2016 VP outreach, reinforces skepticism. With just 28 days left, only a sudden vacancy in a senior post and rapid Senate confirmation could shift odds, though such late-game moves remain a longshot amid packed rosters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,636End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95.7% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, driven by the absence of any official nomination, appointment, or serious rumors despite over a year into the term and major roles long filled. A March White House visit sparked brief speculation amid Iran tensions, where Rice advised aggressive action, but it was advisory only—no indications of onboarding followed. Her history of declining high-profile GOP offers, like Trump's 2016 VP outreach, reinforces skepticism. With just 28 days left, only a sudden vacancy in a senior post and rapid Senate confirmation could shift odds, though such late-game moves remain a longshot amid packed rosters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,636End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95.7% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, driven by the absence of any official nomination, appointment, or serious rumors despite over a year into the term and major roles long filled. A March White House visit sparked brief speculation amid Iran tensions, where Rice advised aggressive action, but it was advisory only—no indications of onboarding followed. Her history of declining high-profile GOP offers, like Trump's 2016 VP outreach, reinforces skepticism. With just 28 days left, only a sudden vacancy in a senior post and rapid Senate confirmation could shift odds, though such late-game moves remain a longshot amid packed rosters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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