Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice securing an official Trump administration role by April 30, reflecting no confirmed nominations, appointments, or credible rumors 15 months into the term. March White House sightings tied to her advisory spot on the president's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—addressing NIL deals, transfer portal chaos, and conference realignments—rather than cabinet contention, with Trump publicly acknowledging her input there. Absent injury-like vacancies or sudden roster moves in foreign policy lineup, her Hoover Institution focus and lack of recent momentum underscore significant barriers to late entry, though an unforeseen upset remains theoretically possible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice securing an official Trump administration role by April 30, reflecting no confirmed nominations, appointments, or credible rumors 15 months into the term. March White House sightings tied to her advisory spot on the president's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—addressing NIL deals, transfer portal chaos, and conference realignments—rather than cabinet contention, with Trump publicly acknowledging her input there. Absent injury-like vacancies or sudden roster moves in foreign policy lineup, her Hoover Institution focus and lack of recent momentum underscore significant barriers to late entry, though an unforeseen upset remains theoretically possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,804End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice securing an official Trump administration role by April 30, reflecting no confirmed nominations, appointments, or credible rumors 15 months into the term. March White House sightings tied to her advisory spot on the president's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—addressing NIL deals, transfer portal chaos, and conference realignments—rather than cabinet contention, with Trump publicly acknowledging her input there. Absent injury-like vacancies or sudden roster moves in foreign policy lineup, her Hoover Institution focus and lack of recent momentum underscore significant barriers to late entry, though an unforeseen upset remains theoretically possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,804End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice securing an official Trump administration role by April 30, reflecting no confirmed nominations, appointments, or credible rumors 15 months into the term. March White House sightings tied to her advisory spot on the president's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—addressing NIL deals, transfer portal chaos, and conference realignments—rather than cabinet contention, with Trump publicly acknowledging her input there. Absent injury-like vacancies or sudden roster moves in foreign policy lineup, her Hoover Institution focus and lack of recent momentum underscore significant barriers to late entry, though an unforeseen upset remains theoretically possible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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