Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Kevin Warsh 50%

Rick Rieder 25.1%

Christopher Waller 12.6%

Kevin Hassett 9%

$230,308,278 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$8,206,894 Vol.
50%

Rick Rieder
$6,517,543 Vol.
25%

Christopher Waller
$6,011,465 Vol.
13%

Kevin Hassett
$13,336,349 Vol.
9%

Judy Shelton
$6,931,807 Vol.
2%

Scott Bessent
$6,723,996 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,462,382 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,335,099 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$4,722,032 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,185,545 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$9,452,905 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,330,788 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,109,387 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$16,529,993 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,004,273 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,280,300 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,104,779 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,321,063 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,501,716 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,103,402 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,535,491 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,878,678 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,824,314 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,145,305 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,747,768 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$230,308,278

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 50%

Rick Rieder 25.1%

Christopher Waller 12.6%

Kevin Hassett 9%

$230,308,278 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$8,206,894 Vol.

50%

Rick Rieder

$6,517,543 Vol.

25%

Christopher Waller

$6,011,465 Vol.

13%

Kevin Hassett

$13,336,349 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$6,931,807 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$6,723,996 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$5,462,382 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,335,099 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$4,722,032 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,185,545 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$9,452,905 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,330,788 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,109,387 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$16,529,993 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,004,273 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,280,300 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,104,779 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,321,063 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,501,716 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,103,402 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,535,491 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,878,678 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,824,314 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,145,305 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,747,768 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$230,308,278

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

66%

Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee by December 31, 2026?

24%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$8,206,894 Vol.
50%

Rick Rieder
$6,517,543 Vol.
25%

Christopher Waller
$6,011,465 Vol.
13%

Kevin Hassett
$13,336,349 Vol.
9%

Judy Shelton
$6,931,807 Vol.
2%

Scott Bessent
$6,723,996 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,462,382 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,335,099 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$4,722,032 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,185,545 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$9,452,905 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,330,788 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,109,387 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$16,529,993 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,004,273 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,280,300 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,104,779 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,321,063 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,501,716 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,103,402 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,535,491 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,878,678 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,824,314 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,145,305 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,747,768 Vol.
<1%

Market Context