Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$16,759,644 Vol.
Kevin Hassett 75%
Kevin Warsh 12%
Christopher Waller 6.2%
Scott Bessent 3.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$1,619,502 Vol.
75%
Kevin Hassett
$1,619,502 Vol.
75%
Kevin Warsh
$436,636 Vol.
12%
Kevin Warsh
$436,636 Vol.
12%
Christopher Waller
$678,369 Vol.
6%
Christopher Waller
$678,369 Vol.
6%
Scott Bessent
$519,589 Vol.
3%
Scott Bessent
$519,589 Vol.
3%
Rick Rieder
$410,753 Vol.
3%
Rick Rieder
$410,753 Vol.
3%
Michelle Bowman
$300,397 Vol.
2%
Michelle Bowman
$300,397 Vol.
2%
David Malpass
$317,641 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$317,641 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$296,061 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$296,061 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$662,730 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$662,730 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$891,672 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$891,672 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$320,219 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$320,219 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$852,637 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$852,637 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$428,299 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$428,299 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$396,387 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$396,387 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,569,318 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,569,318 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$429,157 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$429,157 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$199,665 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$199,665 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,860,374 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,860,374 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$944,283 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$944,283 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$242,032 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$242,032 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,339,770 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,339,770 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$236,366 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$236,366 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$681,506 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$681,506 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$93,255 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$93,255 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$28,021 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$28,021 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$16,759,644 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett 75%
Kevin Warsh 12%
Christopher Waller 6.2%
Scott Bessent 3.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
75%
Kevin Warsh
12%
Christopher Waller
6%
Scott Bessent
3%
Rick Rieder
3%
Michelle Bowman
2%
David Malpass
<1%
Jerome Powell
<1%
Stephen Miran
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
<1%
Howard Lutnick
<1%
Judy Shelton
<1%
James Bullard
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
<1%
Bill Pulte
<1%
Arthur Laffer
<1%
Larry Kudlow
<1%
Ron Paul
<1%
David Zervos
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
<1%
Philip Jefferson
<1%
Janet Yellen
<1%
Larry Lindsey
<1%
Barron Trump
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
About
Resolver
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