Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Kevin Warsh 59%

Christopher Waller 16.1%

Kevin Hassett 16%

Rick Rieder 6.5%

$198,385,050 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$5,909,789 Vol.
59%

Christopher Waller
$4,625,406 Vol.
16%

Kevin Hassett
$10,547,975 Vol.
16%

Rick Rieder
$4,308,295 Vol.
6%

Judy Shelton
$5,119,717 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$4,896,907 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,155,908 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,104,001 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$6,639,657 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,914,256 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,252,988 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,247,925 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,909,215 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,955,298 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,928,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,207,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,252,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,149 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,172,180 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,604,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,634,289 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,496,446 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$198,385,050

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 59%

Christopher Waller 16.1%

Kevin Hassett 16%

Rick Rieder 6.5%

$198,385,050 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$5,909,789 Vol.

59%

Christopher Waller

$4,625,406 Vol.

16%

Kevin Hassett

$10,547,975 Vol.

16%

Rick Rieder

$4,308,295 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$5,119,717 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$4,896,907 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$4,155,908 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$4,104,001 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$6,639,657 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,914,256 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,252,988 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$3,247,925 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,909,215 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$10,955,298 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,928,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,207,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,015,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,252,263 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,939,149 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$6,172,180 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,574,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,604,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,634,289 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,496,446 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$198,385,050

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

42%

Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

31%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$5,909,789 Vol.
59%

Christopher Waller
$4,625,406 Vol.
16%

Kevin Hassett
$10,547,975 Vol.
16%

Rick Rieder
$4,308,295 Vol.
6%

Judy Shelton
$5,119,717 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$4,896,907 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,155,908 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,104,001 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$6,639,657 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,914,256 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,252,988 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,247,925 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,909,215 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,955,298 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,928,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,207,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,252,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,149 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,172,180 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,604,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,634,289 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,496,446 Vol.
<1%

Market Context