Market icon
Politics·Big Tech

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Market icon
Politics·Big Tech

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount 72%

None by June 30, 2027 23%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$965,421 Vol.

Paramount 72%

None by June 30, 2027 23%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$965,421 Vol.

Paramount

$429,097 Vol.

72%

None by June 30, 2027

$151,719 Vol.

23%

Netflix

$213,169 Vol.

1%

Comcast

$171,436 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Paramount leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability after Warner Bros. Discovery's board declared its revised $31-per-share, $110 billion offer from Paramount Skydance a superior proposal on February 26, 2026, prompting Netflix to decline raising its bid and exit the bidding war. Both companies' boards unanimously approved the definitive merger agreement, with WBD scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, and targeting a Q3 2026 close well before the market's June 30, 2027 resolution. The 23% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust risks from DOJ or FTC scrutiny over media consolidation, while Netflix and Comcast trail below 1% having shown no recent pursuit amid the deal's advancement.

Paramount leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability after Warner Bros. Discovery's board declared its revised $31-per-share, $110 billion offer from Paramount Skydance a superior proposal on February 26, 2026, prompting Netflix to decline raising its bid and exit the bidding war. Both companies' boards unanimously approved the definitive merger agreement, with WBD scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, and targeting a Q3 2026 close well before the market's June 30, 2027 resolution. The 23% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust risks from DOJ or FTC scrutiny over media consolidation, while Netflix and Comcast trail below 1% having shown no recent pursuit amid the deal's advancement.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Paramount leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability after Warner Bros. Discovery's board declared its revised $31-per-share, $110 billion offer from Paramount Skydance a superior proposal on February 26, 2026, prompting Netflix to decline raising its bid and exit the bidding war. Both companies' boards unanimously approved the definitive merger agreement, with WBD scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, and targeting a Q3 2026 close well before the market's June 30, 2027 resolution. The 23% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust risks from DOJ or FTC scrutiny over media consolidation, while Netflix and Comcast trail below 1% having shown no recent pursuit amid the deal's advancement.

Paramount leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability after Warner Bros. Discovery's board declared its revised $31-per-share, $110 billion offer from Paramount Skydance a superior proposal on February 26, 2026, prompting Netflix to decline raising its bid and exit the bidding war. Both companies' boards unanimously approved the definitive merger agreement, with WBD scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, and targeting a Q3 2026 close well before the market's June 30, 2027 resolution. The 23% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust risks from DOJ or FTC scrutiny over media consolidation, while Netflix and Comcast trail below 1% having shown no recent pursuit amid the deal's advancement.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

71%
Market icon

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

69%
Market icon

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

8%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paramount" at 72%, followed by "None by June 30, 2027" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?" has generated $965.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?" is "Paramount" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "None by June 30, 2027" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.