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Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Alibaba <1%

$2,491,848 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$2,491,848
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Nov 10, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Alibaba <1%

$2,491,848 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$78,990 Vol.

No

Market icon

Anthropic

$105,870 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

OpenAI

$105,104 Vol.

No

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Alibaba

$263,814 Vol.

No

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Z.ai

$151,296 Vol.

No

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xAI

$100,533 Vol.

No

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DeepSeek

$195,650 Vol.

No

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Moonshot

$535,570 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mistral

$955,020 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$2,491,848
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Nov 10, 2025, 6:57 PM ET

Beware of external links.