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Which company has the best AI model end of January?

Google 98.2%

xAI 1.3%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$23,529,130 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$23,529,130
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

Google 98.2%

xAI 1.3%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$23,529,130 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$1,110,522 Vol.

98%

Market icon

xAI

$958,842 Vol.

1%

Market icon

OpenAI

$1,177,303 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$1,095,129 Vol.

<1%

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Anthropic

$1,075,596 Vol.

<1%

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Baidu

$957,916 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$1,014,335 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$5,005,085 Vol.

<1%

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Z.ai

$1,974,127 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$1,652,667 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$7,507,608 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$23,529,130
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Beware of external links.