Grok 4.20 released on...?
January 10 47.9%
January 12 45.9%
January 11 44.9%
January 30 29.5%
December 29
$220 Vol.
1%
December 29
$220 Vol.
1%
December 30
$140 Vol.
6%
December 30
$140 Vol.
6%
December 31
$120 Vol.
21%
December 31
$120 Vol.
21%
January 1
$120 Vol.
10%
January 1
$120 Vol.
10%
January 2
$115 Vol.
4%
January 2
$115 Vol.
4%
January 3
$120 Vol.
11%
January 3
$120 Vol.
11%
January 4
$120 Vol.
15%
January 4
$120 Vol.
15%
January 5
$120 Vol.
10%
January 5
$120 Vol.
10%
January 6
$120 Vol.
22%
January 6
$120 Vol.
22%
January 7
$120 Vol.
22%
January 7
$120 Vol.
22%
January 8
$120 Vol.
11%
January 8
$120 Vol.
11%
January 9
$120 Vol.
2%
January 9
$120 Vol.
2%
January 10
$120 Vol.
48%
January 10
$120 Vol.
48%
January 11
$120 Vol.
45%
January 11
$120 Vol.
45%
January 12
$120 Vol.
46%
January 12
$120 Vol.
46%
January 13
$120 Vol.
25%
January 13
$120 Vol.
25%
January 14
$120 Vol.
23%
January 14
$120 Vol.
23%
January 15
$115 Vol.
6%
January 15
$115 Vol.
6%
January 16
$120 Vol.
25%
January 16
$120 Vol.
25%
January 17
$120 Vol.
25%
January 17
$120 Vol.
25%
January 18
$120 Vol.
24%
January 18
$120 Vol.
24%
January 19
$120 Vol.
25%
January 19
$120 Vol.
25%
January 20
$120 Vol.
25%
January 20
$120 Vol.
25%
January 21
$120 Vol.
25%
January 21
$120 Vol.
25%
January 22
$120 Vol.
25%
January 22
$120 Vol.
25%
January 23
$120 Vol.
25%
January 23
$120 Vol.
25%
January 24
$120 Vol.
2%
January 24
$120 Vol.
2%
January 25
$120 Vol.
2%
January 25
$120 Vol.
2%
January 26
$120 Vol.
25%
January 26
$120 Vol.
25%
January 27
$120 Vol.
23%
January 27
$120 Vol.
23%
January 28
$120 Vol.
25%
January 28
$120 Vol.
25%
January 29
$120 Vol.
2%
January 29
$120 Vol.
2%
January 30
$120 Vol.
30%
January 30
$120 Vol.
30%
January 31
$120 Vol.
28%
January 31
$120 Vol.
28%
No release by January 31
$140 Vol.
25%
No release by January 31
$140 Vol.
25%
Rules
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 29, 2025, 9:46 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
January 10 47.9%
January 12 45.9%
January 11 44.9%
January 30 29.5%
December 29
1%
December 30
6%
December 31
21%
January 1
10%
January 2
4%
January 3
11%
January 4
15%
January 5
10%
January 6
22%
January 7
22%
January 8
11%
January 9
2%
January 10
48%
January 11
45%
January 12
46%
January 13
25%
January 14
23%
January 15
6%
January 16
25%
January 17
25%
January 18
24%
January 19
25%
January 20
25%
January 21
25%
January 22
25%
January 23
25%
January 24
2%
January 25
2%
January 26
25%
January 27
23%
January 28
25%
January 29
2%
January 30
30%
January 31
28%
No release by January 31
25%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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