Growing state and local resistance to AI data centers' heavy energy demands and grid strains has cemented trader consensus around a qualifying moratorium clearing somewhere in the US by end-2026, reflected in the 90.8% Yes odds. Key momentum comes from New York's legislature passing a one-year pause awaiting the governor's signature and Maine advancing a bill halting projects until November 2027, alongside similar proposals in a dozen states and over 100 localities. The March 2026 Sanders-AOC federal bill amplified visibility, though its path remains steep. Realistic hurdles include vetoes, stalled measures in competitive states, or resolutions too narrow to meet the market's criteria, underscoring how fast-shifting policy fights could still alter the trajectory before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$58,087 Vol.
$58,087 Vol.
Oui
$58,087 Vol.
$58,087 Vol.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Growing state and local resistance to AI data centers' heavy energy demands and grid strains has cemented trader consensus around a qualifying moratorium clearing somewhere in the US by end-2026, reflected in the 90.8% Yes odds. Key momentum comes from New York's legislature passing a one-year pause awaiting the governor's signature and Maine advancing a bill halting projects until November 2027, alongside similar proposals in a dozen states and over 100 localities. The March 2026 Sanders-AOC federal bill amplified visibility, though its path remains steep. Realistic hurdles include vetoes, stalled measures in competitive states, or resolutions too narrow to meet the market's criteria, underscoring how fast-shifting policy fights could still alter the trajectory before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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