Trader consensus reflects an 80% implied probability against a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act's introduction by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on March 25 remaining stalled without committee advancement, cosponsors, or hearings amid Republican congressional control and pro-AI momentum from industry lobbying and administration priorities. While state-level actions intensify—Maine's bill advancing for a pause on large projects until November 2027 and proposals in Ohio, New York, and others highlight grid strain and energy concerns—no federal traction has emerged in the past week. Upcoming catalysts like potential lame-duck sessions offer slim upset potential, but historical gridlock on restrictive tech bills reinforces the "No" frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$12,465 Vol.
$12,465 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$12,465 Vol.
$12,465 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 80% implied probability against a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act's introduction by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on March 25 remaining stalled without committee advancement, cosponsors, or hearings amid Republican congressional control and pro-AI momentum from industry lobbying and administration priorities. While state-level actions intensify—Maine's bill advancing for a pause on large projects until November 2027 and proposals in Ohio, New York, and others highlight grid strain and energy concerns—no federal traction has emerged in the past week. Upcoming catalysts like potential lame-duck sessions offer slim upset potential, but historical gridlock on restrictive tech bills reinforces the "No" frontrunner status.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$12,465End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 80% implied probability against a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act's introduction by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on March 25 remaining stalled without committee advancement, cosponsors, or hearings amid Republican congressional control and pro-AI momentum from industry lobbying and administration priorities. While state-level actions intensify—Maine's bill advancing for a pause on large projects until November 2027 and proposals in Ohio, New York, and others highlight grid strain and energy concerns—no federal traction has emerged in the past week. Upcoming catalysts like potential lame-duck sessions offer slim upset potential, but historical gridlock on restrictive tech bills reinforces the "No" frontrunner status.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,465End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 80% implied probability against a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act's introduction by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on March 25 remaining stalled without committee advancement, cosponsors, or hearings amid Republican congressional control and pro-AI momentum from industry lobbying and administration priorities. While state-level actions intensify—Maine's bill advancing for a pause on large projects until November 2027 and proposals in Ohio, New York, and others highlight grid strain and energy concerns—no federal traction has emerged in the past week. Upcoming catalysts like potential lame-duck sessions offer slim upset potential, but historical gridlock on restrictive tech bills reinforces the "No" frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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