Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
$599,748 Vol.
Google 88%
xAI 10.7%
OpenAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Google
$78,234 Vol.
88%

$78,234 Vol.
88%

xAI
$79,749 Vol.
11%

xAI
$79,749 Vol.
11%

OpenAI
$60,520 Vol.
1%

OpenAI
$60,520 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$57,698 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$57,698 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$51,983 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$51,983 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$49,303 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$49,303 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$42,862 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$42,862 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$71,918 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$71,918 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$50,887 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$50,887 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$56,595 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$56,595 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 10:46 PM UTC
Volume
$599,748End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 10:46 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$599,748 Vol.
Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
Google 88%
xAI 10.7%
OpenAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

$78,234 Vol.
88%

xAI
$79,749 Vol.
11%

OpenAI
$60,520 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$57,698 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$51,983 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$49,303 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$42,862 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$71,918 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$50,887 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$56,595 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$599,748End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 10:46 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.