Market icon

Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

$599,748 Vol.

Google 88%

xAI 10.7%

OpenAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$599,748
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 10:46 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$599,748 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

Google 88%

xAI 10.7%

OpenAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Google

$78,234 Vol.

88%

Market icon

xAI

$79,749 Vol.

11%

Market icon

OpenAI

$60,520 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Anthropic

$57,698 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$51,983 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$49,303 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$42,862 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Meituan

$71,918 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$50,887 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$56,595 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$599,748
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 10:46 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.